VRA warns of potential oversupply of used petrol cars
13 June 2018
Author: Sean Keywood
The used car market could face an oversupply of petrol cars in the medium term, the Vehicle Remarketing Association (VRA) has warned.
The organisation says that while there has been a relatively sudden and marked move towards petrol in the new car sector, there is little sign of demand for used diesels falling.
VRA chair Glenn Sturley said: "We have seen a dramatic shift away from diesel in favour of petrol in the new car market in a very short space of time.
"However, this has not been reflected in anything like the same way in the used market. While there have been some relatively small price shifts that have seen used petrol car prices increasing, there has been no real sign of any reduction in demand for diesel.
"Diesels continue to provide key advantages over petrol for used car buyers, ranging from fuel economy to the fact they are capable of much higher mileages.
"They remain arguably the more attractive used car purchase for many people."
Sturley said that with the trend towards petrol in the new car market, there would be a corresponding, sudden influx of larger numbers of petrol cars into the used sector in the medium term, but there might not be sufficient demand to maintain values at current levels.
"At some point in the next 12 to 24 months, we will see petrol cars arriving on the used market in much higher numbers," he said.
"Volumes for petrol supply in the last few years on some model ranges have been sub-10% of total numbers and this figure could easily triple.
"What is largely unknown is the extent to which used car buyers will decide to buy petrol over diesel when given that option.
"Certainly, there is no sign that the environmental concerns that have reshaped the new car market will similarly impact on the used sector."
Sturley said it would not be surprising for a situation to develop where petrol moved quite quickly into oversupply, with there being a reduction in values against current prices.
He continued: "In fact, what may well happen in the medium term is that there is some kind of petrol-diesel parity.
"However, we are dealing with a situation that remains quite dynamic and there are also further factors such as the larger numbers of hybrids arriving on the used market. We, and our members, are monitoring developments very closely.
"Certainly, we are not envisaging any form of fall in diesel values unless factors such as increasing taxes or low emissions zones suddenly become the norm, other than perhaps in the older, genuinely more polluting vehicles of Euro 4 and below."